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Before the bell: Futures higher ahead of retail sales data

U.S. stock futures followed global markets higher Monday morning as Japan announced its economy grew at a faster-than-expected pace and governments around the world said they would maintain their stimulus policies. Investors are also awaiting a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, GM's first earnings report since emerging from bankruptcy, as well as more economic data, including retail sales and manufacturing.

Japan's gross domestic product grew at an annual pace of 4.8% in the third quarter, its largest expansion in more than two years. This was higher than economists' 2.6% projection. The world's second largest economy relies heavily on exports and demand at home and overseas improved, indicating its trading partners are also recovering.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures higher ahead of retail sales data

Geithner sees 'early signs' that global imbalances are being addressed

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, attending the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Singapore Thursday, told Bloomberg News he sees "early signs" that the world is addressing imbalances in spending and saving that contributed to the global financial crisis. That's likely to be interpreted as a bullish sign by institutional investors.

Equally important, meeting attendees, which include finance ministers from China, Japan, and Australia, also reiterated a pledge to maintain stimulus efforts "until a durable recovery in private demand is secured."

Continue reading Geithner sees 'early signs' that global imbalances are being addressed

Why do we have a weak dollar?

The stock market is rallying. Commodities are on a tear. Yet the dollar is falling. Why?

There are several reasons for the drop in the dollar, but the most obvious and simple answer is that investors around the world are selling dollars and using the money to buy stocks and commodities, particularly oil and gold.

Last week India announced that it had bought 200 tons of gold from the International Monetary Fund (IMF.) At an average of say $1000.00 per ounce, the transaction amounted to about $7 trillion dollars. Chances are that India sold dollars from their sovereign fund to buy the gold.

Continue reading Why do we have a weak dollar?

Consumer confidence up around the world, a first since 2007

Consumer confidence ticked upward for the first time since 2007. Around the world, consumers are becoming more comfortable with the prospect of shelling out some cash, even if they're still approaching the notion with caution.

According to a survey conducted by The Nielsen Company between September 28 and October 16, 2009, consumer confidence was highest in India, with Indonesia and Norway following. Japan, Latvia, Portugal, and South Korea were at the other end of the spectrum, though South Korea did show a significant quarterly improvement.

Continue reading Consumer confidence up around the world, a first since 2007

Ten views of unemployment around the world

The United States is not alone. We just saw the unemployment rate creep higher to 9.8% for September, and the rest of the world is coming with us.

The worldwide recession is still circling the globe, it seems, leaving slashed jobs in its wake. While the rise in unemployment is essentially a fact of life, how countries are responding to it differs widely. Some are spending aggressively to protect jobs; for example, by chipping in some extra cash to pay for shorter work weeks.

In the 30 countries comprising the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), unemployment is as low as 3.2% in the Netherlands and as high as 17.6% in Spain, as of July 2009.

Continue reading Ten views of unemployment around the world

The G-20 meets in Pittsburgh, and expectations are low

The G-20 is meeting again, this time in Pittsburgh, and as is so often the case when the world's industrial powers gather, the operative phrase is 'lower your expectations.'

What can investors look for? Well, one thing investors should not look for is any G-20 type of action on banker compensation/bonuses, other than a call for each nation, 'to do more to ensure that constructive incentives are in place' to prevent a repeat of the lending practices/perverse incentives that helped trigger the global financial crisis. There is support for compensation caps in Europe (except Germany); however, the United States and United Kingdom oppose them, so the issue is a non-starter.

Continue reading The G-20 meets in Pittsburgh, and expectations are low

Delta exploring stake in Japan Airlines

Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL) is looking to buy a piece of Japan Airlines (OTC: JALSY). The move could give the world's largest airline access to more cities in Japan.

A source close to the talks says that the investment would be several hundred million dollars and would open the door for an alliance between the two that would allow each airline to book passengers on the other's flights.

Continue reading Delta exploring stake in Japan Airlines

Sepracor gets a healthy buyout

Lately, the Japanese pharma industry has flexed its M&A muscle, trying to find opportunities in global markets. And, the latest deal came this week: Dainippon Sumitomo Pharma agreed to shell out $2.6 billion for Sepracor Inc. (NASDAQ: SEPR). The deal is all-cash.

Why all the interest? There are several drivers. First, the strong yen has made deals fairly cheap. Next, the Japanese market is expected to be slow because of government mandates. And finally, Japanese pharma companies are coming up against expirations of major drugs.

Continue reading Sepracor gets a healthy buyout

Chinese sell-off spooks oil traders

chinese sell off spooks oil investorsOil traders have been selling off the precious crude Monday, as a steep sell-off of China's benchmark index raised concerns over the current state of both the Chinese and U.S. economies.

The Chinese Shanghai Composite Index took a beating to start off the week, trading down 6.74%, and raised fresh concerns over a global economic rebound. Today's sell off in the Chinese market was its biggest decline since June of 2008. The sell-off comes on the heels of a near 3% drop in the index last Friday.

Continue reading Chinese sell-off spooks oil traders

Why is the 'carry trade' back in vogue?

The carry trade is back in vogue with hedge funds and large institutional traders.

First of all, what is the "carry trade?" It is a very simple trade. Traders buy a currency, such as the yen, in which interest rates are near zero and buy a currency in which rates are higher, and they pocket the difference.

Continue reading Why is the 'carry trade' back in vogue?

Japan's deflationary spiral: Wholesale prices plunge 8.5%

Markets throughout the world have been rallying on the expectation that the world recession is ending. Lurking underneath the surface are some disturbing events.

Japan is in a sharp deflationary spiral. The Corporate Goods Index, which measures wholesale prices, plunged 8.5%, this after a 6.7% drop in June. This is the fastest drop on record.

Let's look at other deflationary numbers. Import prices fell 33.3% in yen terms and 26.5% on a contract-currency basis. Export prices fell 15.3% in yen terms and 6.5% in contract currencies.

Continue reading Japan's deflationary spiral: Wholesale prices plunge 8.5%

Corning (GLW) LCD production slowed by earthquake

GLW logoCorning (NYSE: GLW - option chain) stock is falling today after the company said that an earthquake in Honshu yesterday disrupted production at its LCD glass manufacturing facility in Shizuoka, Japan. GLW expects the earthquake to reduce third-quarter revenue by up to $65 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on GLW.

This morning, GLW opened at $16.08. So far today the stock has hit a low of $15.80 and a high of $16.15. As of 11:25, GLW is trading at $15.94, down $0.44 (-2.7%). The chart for GLW looks neutral and S&P gives GLW a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Corning (GLW) LCD production slowed by earthquake

Nucor (NUE) rises on ore price cut

NUE logoNucor (NYSE: NUE - option chain) shares are rising today after iron-ore miner Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) agreed to cut its iron ore prices for Japan's Nippon Steel Corp by more than 30%. The steelmakers have already been driven lower as demand for their product has slowed, but now they are less likely to be charged boom-time prices for their raw materials on top of that. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on NUE.

NUE opened this morning at $39.44. So far today the stock has hit a low of $39.14 and a high of $41.41. As of 11:35, NUE is trading at $41.25 up 1.16 (2.9%). The chart for NUE looks bearish and S&P gives NUE a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell ranking.

Continue reading Nucor (NUE) rises on ore price cut

Toyota posts first annual loss in 59 years

Toyota 2009 LossGiving a clear indication of just how low demand for new autos has fallen, the world's largest car maker, Toyota (NYSE: TM) posted its first annual loss in 59 years this morning.

We all know that the auto industry is in major trouble. We have America's big three all fighting for their lives, and Chrysler has already been forced to file Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

Continue reading Toyota posts first annual loss in 59 years

G-20 members agree on a $1 trillion stimulus and other reforms

The G 20 countries wrapped up their ground breaking summit with amazing cooperation among members. The tackled a wide range of problems and were able to agree on just about every key issue.

Let's look at some specific policies that the G 20 members agreed upon:

  • Regarding the matter of stimulus, they agreed to boost the International Monetary Fund's lending power to around $750 billion.
  • They also unveiled a $250 billion expansion of the IMF's reserve currency, referred to as "special drawing rights." This will boost liquidity in the global financial system by expanding member countries' foreign exchange reserves.
  • They agreed to selling gold to help poor countries.

Continue reading G-20 members agree on a $1 trillion stimulus and other reforms

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DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 08:26 PM

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