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JP Morgan's Dimon says: 'We should be allowed to fail'

There is legislation in both the House and Senate aimed at breaking up large banks that are deemed: "Too big to fail."

Against this backdrop, Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) said "If some unforeseen circumstance should put this firm at risk of collapse, we should be allowed to fail."

Dimon went on to say writing in Friday's Washington Post: "The term 'too big to fail' must be excised from our vocabulary." Dimon also argued against limiting banks' size saying that increased scale can benefit customers.

Continue reading JP Morgan's Dimon says: 'We should be allowed to fail'

Why is gold making a new high, trading at $1,118.00 per ounce?

A wise trader once told me: "It's all in the price. All the thoughts, ideas and emotions of all the traders throughout the world are in that one number."

Gold is trading at $1,118.00 per ounce. What is that number telling us? Pure and simple, the market is telling us that inflation is on the way. The Indian government just bought 200 tons of gold valued at over $7 trillion dollars. In other words they exchanged $7 trillion US dollars for the 200 tons of gold.

At the same time the December US dollar contract traded below 75.00 on a trade-weighted basis. What is that number telling us? Traders are turning in dollars for other investments, mainly stocks and commodities.

Continue reading Why is gold making a new high, trading at $1,118.00 per ounce?

U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner wants a strong dollar

Treasury Secretary Geithner, speaking from Tokyo, said that he wants a strong dollar and that the United States is determined to bring budget deficits down.

Mr Geithner has made this statement several times in the past. Yet, this year the dollar has fallen 7.6% and hit a 15 month low of 74.889 on Wednesday.

You are probably wondering why his words are being discounted. The dollar keeps falling. Let's look at the underlying conditions in the US economy that are working against a strong dollar.

Geithner cited unemployment as one factor. He said: "Unemployment is really very, very high, exceptionally higher in the United States. It is still rising. It's probably going to rise for a bit longer, until you see a longer period of growth take hold."

Continue reading U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner wants a strong dollar

Why do we have a weak dollar?

The stock market is rallying. Commodities are on a tear. Yet the dollar is falling. Why?

There are several reasons for the drop in the dollar, but the most obvious and simple answer is that investors around the world are selling dollars and using the money to buy stocks and commodities, particularly oil and gold.

Last week India announced that it had bought 200 tons of gold from the International Monetary Fund (IMF.) At an average of say $1000.00 per ounce, the transaction amounted to about $7 trillion dollars. Chances are that India sold dollars from their sovereign fund to buy the gold.

Continue reading Why do we have a weak dollar?

Is the recession still alive?

Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average set a new 2009 high, trading above 10,225. GDP growth came in at 3.5% for the third quarter.

However, what we are experiencing is a disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. Last Friday, the Labor Department reported that unemployment is now above 10%. Consumer spending for September fell .5%, the biggest drop since December 2008.

Continue reading Is the recession still alive?

Why are stocks surging to new 2009 highs?

Why are stocks trading at record highs? Last week we had a dismal report on unemployment, rising to above 10%. Stocks should have opened weaker today. Wrong. Stocks surged to new highs with the Dow trading at 10,147 up 126 points. Why the sudden change ot trend? The catalyst came over the weekend when the G 20 agreed to keep stimulus packages in place for their respective economies. Traders interpreted this as a buy signal because it means that more money will be sloshing around the world stimulating business and increasing profits.

Continue reading Why are stocks surging to new 2009 highs?

Senator Sanders proposes legislation to break up large banks

US Senator Bernie Sanders, independent from Vermont, is known for his straightforward and unbiased positions.

His new legislative proposal is to break up big banks that are deemed "too big to fail." To quote Mr. Sanders: "if an institution is too big to fail, it is too big to exist. We should break them up so they are no longer in a position to bring down our entire economy."

Continue reading Senator Sanders proposes legislation to break up large banks

US Senate extends jobless benefits and first time home buyer credit

After haggling since September the US Senate finally passed an extension for unemployed persons and extended the credit for first time home buyers.

The situation for unemployed persons is dire. Here are just a few facts about their current situation:

  • We have 15 million unemployed vying for just three million available jobs.
  • 200,000 persons lost their benefits since September
  • 7000 persons a day are losing their benefits.
  • More than 1/3 of the unemployed have been out or work for at least six months.

Continue reading US Senate extends jobless benefits and first time home buyer credit

Central Banks lead a shift away from the dollar

The US dollar is down 20% since 2002 on a trade weighted basis. Other world economies like China are dynamic, with growth rates of 8 and 9%. With that kind of clout, countries like China, India and Brazil, can choose where to place their reserves.

Slowly, developing countries are shifting their reserves away from the dollar into the euro and yen. Neil Mellor, strategist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE: BK), which has some $20 trillion dollars in assets under custody said: "I don't think there will be an imminent move, but it is quite clear there's a plan to shift reserves to a more balanced portfolio."

Barclays Capital Research reported that central banks placed 63% of new cash in non US currencies between April and July.

Continue reading Central Banks lead a shift away from the dollar

Goldman traders are the best on the Street

They are the masters of the game. Who are they? They are the traders at Goldman Sachs.

Why is Goldman Sachs Co. (NYSE: GS) the best? Take a look at the record. Goldman traders had one loss in the third quarter. They had a string of 36 $100 million days out of 65 trading days. These figures were down slightly when Goldman had 46 $100 million trades in the second quarter.

Continue reading Goldman traders are the best on the Street

Will the Fed's loose money policy be successful?

Wednesday, the Fed announced that interest rates would remain at zero to 0.25% for at least the next six months.

The Fed statement read as follows: "weak conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period." The only change in the Fed's policy was a tweak in the amount of corporate debt that the Fed intends to buy.

Continue reading Will the Fed's loose money policy be successful?

Personal bankruptcies skyrocket 9% in October

The National Bankruptcy Research Center reported that there were 135,914 bankruptcies in October, up 9%. One third of the bankruptcies were filed under Chapter 13. Chapter 13 requires that the court set up a five year repayment plan for debts owed.

In addition business bankruptcies were up 7% for the same period.The forecast is for 1.4 million bankruptcies in 2009, the highest since 2005. In that year Congress revamped the bankruptcy laws to make it more difficult to wipe out all of a person's debts. There was a rush of filings in the months just before the new law was enacted.

Continue reading Personal bankruptcies skyrocket 9% in October

The Fed decision: almost exactly as expected!

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) issued its statement almost exactly as expected. The language on interest rates is remaining low for an extended period of time remained largely unchanged, and the decision was unanimous.

As I have mentioned earlier, the Fed continues to avoid any potential language which could disrupt the financial markets. Any potentially controversial ideas seem to be reserved for speeches by the Chairman and other government officials.

Continue reading The Fed decision: almost exactly as expected!

COBRA subsidy for unemployed set to expire

On December 31, the government subsidized health insurance under the COBRA program is set to expire.

What is COBRA? COBRA is a federal program that allows you to continue your health insurance after you leave a company. If you choose this option, you must pay your share and the company's share of your health insurance. For singles it averages about $400.00 and for families it averages $1050.00

Continue reading COBRA subsidy for unemployed set to expire

Why is gold trading at record levels? Look to India for the answer

Here's a shocker: India's central bank just bought 200 tons of gold.

India paid $6.7 billion to the International Monetary Fund for the gold, securing the equivalent of 8% of the world's annual production. India's move is a clear signal that Asia is moving away from the U.S. dollar.

India's finance minister said the reason for the purchase was that the economies of Europe and the US had "collapsed."

Continue reading Why is gold trading at record levels? Look to India for the answer

Next Page »

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 08:25 PM

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